Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 13.155833 14.848737 16.798465 19.239507 22.256946 25.924467 3.081658e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.975541 12.994236 15.502968 18.934960 23.654081 30.161805 4.031963e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.778319 11.944360 14.776883 18.900869 25.039255 34.401860 5.117198e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.015290 11.290979 14.392821 19.152634 26.751050 39.488546 6.574564e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.194920 10.439132 13.586557 18.599364 27.023610 42.213933 7.742828e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.667281 9.926855 13.184468 18.567425 28.101262 46.685889 9.601933e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.064625 9.245320 12.447627 17.873452 27.842209 48.408124 1.091064e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.480909 8.543461 11.610601 16.898304 26.867812 48.299396 1.169199e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.015339 7.983663 10.945284 16.135388 26.166583 48.620529 1.268231e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.173239 8.368589 11.796571 18.129531 31.422221 65.714553 2.325781e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.082048 8.359163 12.002583 18.977980 34.495577 79.080374 3.742742e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.725160 7.905639 11.423754 18.243452 33.732446 80.057067 4.297253e+02
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.477471 7.627614 11.149598 18.133366 34.617631 87.873497 6.225595e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.226869 7.329746 10.818048 17.868987 35.074848 94.670753 9.081559e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.034749 7.114601 10.612949 17.836933 36.145197 105.039808 1.591244e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.896444 6.978995 10.537349 18.067640 38.020800 121.248068 4.191576e+03
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.669954 6.682512 10.146260 17.560570 37.626254 125.720636 8.085395e+03
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.523389 6.513394 9.977980 17.531278 38.690443 140.031095 7.287331e+04
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.311042 6.221750 9.562269 16.894287 37.699165 140.747859 1.152575e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.079428 5.888296 9.051576 15.997432 35.722090 133.623956 1.659186e+06
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.884638 5.611699 8.636466 15.294283 34.289051 129.738429 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.002299 5.879510 9.271600 17.129461 41.935008 209.147222 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.986908 5.912503 9.454434 17.907638 46.297352 282.124919 NaN